Saturday, September 15, 2007

Market Outlook MID for Sep 17th '07



Note:

The AdStoK_MTF indicator is now substituted for AdLag64StoK_MTF which is smoother, but sligtly back-adjusting. Only the last pattern over the last 64 bars is displayed.


Dominant TF: 60mins
Swings: UP-UP-DN
Market direction: undetermined.

60mins:
The recovery stopped at Fib PR2 (61.8%) and has been hovering around 862 for a while. AdStoK is fairly strong, but Entropy has now turned about negative.
What next now??? After the Fed announcement on Monday, it can certainly go both ways, but there is still a positive to neutral bias ahead of the news.

Daily:
Very slight upward bias given by AdStoK, but Entropy is so weak, it can here really go both ways, or even stay a little longer in the same trading range.
Possible range: 843 to 875, then 812 on the down side, for 906 on the up side.

Weekly:
Ahead of the Fed on Monday, there is some minor upward bias left. Hopefully a direction will emerge soon enough...

Market Outlook SPY for Sep 17th '07



Note:

The AdStoK_MTF indicator is now substituted for AdLag64StoK_MTF which is smoother, but slightly back-adjusting. Only the last pattern over the last 64 bars is displayed.


Dominant TF: 60mins
Swings: DN-UP-DN
Market direction: undetermined.

60mins:
The recovery has stalled short of the 150 level. AdStoK is strong, but Entropy has now turned negative.
What next now??? After the Fed announcement on Monday, it can certainly go both ways, but there is a negative bias ahead of the news.

Daily:
Very slight upward bias given by AdStoK, but Entropy is so weak, it can here really go both ways, or even stay a little longer in the same trading range.
Possible range: 145 (maybe 143) to 150

Weekly:
Ahead of the Fed on Monday, there is some minor upward bias left. Hopefully a direction will emerge soon enough...