Sunday, September 16, 2007

Market Outlook RUT for Sep 17th '07



Note:

The AdStoK_MTF indicator is now substituted for AdLag64StoK_MTF which is smoother, but very slightly back-adjusting. Only the last pattern over the last 64 bars is displayed.


Dominant TF: 60mins
Swings: UP-DN-DN
Market direction: Neutral to Down.

60mins:
The recovery stopped close to Fib PR2 (61.8%) at 787 and settled just above MM pivot at 781, after hovering within a fairly tight range for a few days. AdStoK is neutral to bullish, but Entropy has now turned about negative.
What next now??? After the Fed announcement on Monday, it can certainly go both ways, but there is still a positive to neutral bias ahead of the news.

Daily:
Very slightly upward bias given by AdStoK, but Entropy is down and negative. The market is driven by levels right now, and thus will probably move to the next fractal level upon the Fed announcement.
Possible range: 765 to 800, then 812.5 on the up side, 750 on the down side. 750 and 812 are KEY LEVELS in both directions.

Weekly:
Ahead of the Fed on Monday, there is some minor downward bias, but it could just as well be a return to the bullish trend after a bounce on the 750 support level.

Market Outlook NDX for Sep 17th '07


Note:

The AdStoK_MTF indicator is now substituted for AdLag64StoK_MTF which is smoother, but sligtly back-adjusting. Only the last pattern over the last 64 bars is displayed.


Dominant TF: 60mins
Swings: UP-UP-UP
Market direction: Up to Neutral.

60mins:
The recovery stopped close to Fib PR2 (61.8%) as well as MM pivot, and has been hovering within a fairly tight range for a few days. AdStoK is fairly strong, but Entropy has now turned about negative.
What next now??? After the Fed announcement on Monday, it can certainly go both ways, but there is still a positive to neutral bias ahead of the news.

Daily:
Upward bias given by AdStoK, and Entropy is still strong, even though declining a bit. The market is driven by levels right now, and thus will probably move to the next fractal level upon the Fed announcement.
Possible range: 1980 to 2025, then 2025 on the up side.

Weekly:
Ahead of the Fed on Monday, there is some minor upward bias left, but it could just as well be a return to the bullish trend than a double top...