Friday, September 21, 2007

Market Outlook RUT for Sep 21th '07


Dominant TF: 60mins
Swings: UP-UP-DN
Market direction: neutral to mildly UP.


60mins: neutral to mildly DN, til support is found.
The major 812.50 resistance level has held despite the strong open on Sep 19th.
AdStoK and Entropy show signs of a weakening and a support must be found now (Swing is UP). One can be tempted to think 805 was the support yesterday, but AdStoK has a negative gradient, and one cannot discard 797 - 799 to be a stronger support.

Daily: neutral to mildly UP.
AdStoK is somewhat bullish but the line separation may indicate some increased volatility at these new levels.
RUT may well reach 827 after some support is found. Should we see some profit taking, RUT will find support around 800.

Weekly: neutral to mildly UP
The Swing indicator has not turned around yet, and weekly bars are still yellow, indicating we are not back to bullish mode just yet. Having said that, volatility is the main cause for this hesitation.
Entropy might bottom up this week, so RUT could creep slowly to 843 over the next few weeks. At the same time, RUT may just as well follow another leading index like SPX.