Market Snapshot: Market Outlook NDX for Nov 15th '07

Thursday, November 15, 2007

Market Outlook NDX for Nov 15th '07

Dominant TF: 60mins, Daily, but mostly 15 and 30 mins charts
Swings: UP-DN-UP
Market direction: congestion to down.

Back to my daily snapshots after a great time in the African bushveld...

60mins: down
The down draft is not over yet, but Entropy and MTFS do not point toward a fall but rather to a test of 2000 again. Significance level at 0.69 is alright, but one should certainly take cues from shorter time frames for trading points.

Daily: Down.
MTFS and Entropy do not look good... One should pay attention to Fib and MM levels. MM target is 2000, then 1935 is a combined MM + Fib. Let's first see whether 2000 holds again...

Weekly: congestion to mildly down - very low significance level.
We knew we had to watch for that growing divergence, and Entropy peaking. Now, there is still no overall change in direction and this profit taking is only healthy after such a bull run. We have recurrence of the 1935 level, so it could certainly retrace a little more. Speed is however difficult to anticipate in this high vol environment.

Welcome !

And enjoy your visit to this little "Market Snapshot" blog.

The market report blog has now moved to ForeTrade while this one will (time permitting) focus on actual chart commentaries on TF and ES eminis, as well as EURUSD to show how accurate and yet simple our proprietary method is. The reason for this change is that the Toolset itself is no longer for sale itself, simply because the sales effort and training/support activities were too time consuming. I now provide market analysis exclusively to fund managers until the technology is finally sold to a fund or financial institution. The blogs and Twitter will then be closed or turned private. Anyway, enjoy while it's there...

A closer look:
Behind these market snapshots lies an advanced TradeStation toolset including a set of C++ DLLs and API to access various advanced realtime calculations stored in the DLL to be used either within TS or with custom VC++ programs. While seemingly a little complex at first, the technique is actually relatively easy to grasp. In fact, since most humans can only memorize 3 to 5 (sometimes up to 7) pieces of information at any one time, and the technique being discretionary, it was essential to keep it as simple as possible.

What are those snapshots made of ?
In a nutshell, all reports are based on a minimum of 1 symbol in 3 Time Frames: 60mins, daily and weekly, themselves using more or less the same indicator set: self-adaptive swing indicator, MTFS (formerly AdStoK) and self-adaptive Entropy and a few visual aids (swing direction, support/resistance levels and paintbars). "Self-adaptive" is the key word here. There is virtually no parameter to tune, and it can be used as is, for virtually any market symbol. Each chart provides a visibility 3 to 5 bars ahead, so actual trading should obviously be complemented by a sound money management technique.

A common question : Why isn't there a user documentation then? Hmmm... Who ever reads manuals...? Well, I might provide one eventually but at the same time I might not... The reason is that it is more important to absorb the method over a period of time and make it one's own, i.e. then adapt it to one's own trading profile.
For the keen developer, a detailed API documentation for this set of advanced TradeStation Analysis Techniques will be released shortly.
For the time being a separate technical blog has been launched for those of you interested in learning a little more about what's under the bonnet.
For more info: voisin DOT bruno AT gmail DOT com

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Market Snapshot

Thursday, November 15, 2007

Market Outlook NDX for Nov 15th '07

Limpopo-Lipadi

Welcome !

Learning the technique with a few commented charts

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