Market Snapshot: Market Outlook SPY for Jan 8th '08

Tuesday, January 08, 2008

Market Outlook SPY for Jan 8th '08

Dominant TF: 60mins & Daily
Swings: DN-DN-DN (from DN-DN-DN)
Cycles: indicates a possible upturn but totally unreliable significance level
Market Direction: probably lower still
Position:
Short: nothing wrong taking profit around coming support level
Flat: be patient
Long: you must be mad

60mins: likely congestion or down drift.
The MTFS crossover came too early to indicate a recovery and Entropy hasn't bottomed yet, so we may have a congestion at best, otherwise SPY could well also drift to the stall level around 139, just above the strong support level at 137.50.
NB: EntBin is very low at -4 (Min is -5) though so a bottom may occur soon.

Daily: congestion to down
Similar to yesterday:
Like with NDX, we are surprisingly not in a very bearish environment just yet. SPY could drift further (137.75?) or just remain congested at this low level for a while (~140.60).

Weekly: congestion to down
Again, this time frame has difficulty adapting to the current market moves at the moment.
We would like to see Entropy stabilising for a possible recovery. We have to watch current levels or possibly 137.75 for a stronger support level now.

Welcome !

And enjoy your visit to this little "Market Snapshot" blog.

The market report blog has now moved to ForeTrade while this one will (time permitting) focus on actual chart commentaries on TF and ES eminis, as well as EURUSD to show how accurate and yet simple our proprietary method is. The reason for this change is that the Toolset itself is no longer for sale itself, simply because the sales effort and training/support activities were too time consuming. I now provide market analysis exclusively to fund managers until the technology is finally sold to a fund or financial institution. The blogs and Twitter will then be closed or turned private. Anyway, enjoy while it's there...

A closer look:
Behind these market snapshots lies an advanced TradeStation toolset including a set of C++ DLLs and API to access various advanced realtime calculations stored in the DLL to be used either within TS or with custom VC++ programs. While seemingly a little complex at first, the technique is actually relatively easy to grasp. In fact, since most humans can only memorize 3 to 5 (sometimes up to 7) pieces of information at any one time, and the technique being discretionary, it was essential to keep it as simple as possible.

What are those snapshots made of ?
In a nutshell, all reports are based on a minimum of 1 symbol in 3 Time Frames: 60mins, daily and weekly, themselves using more or less the same indicator set: self-adaptive swing indicator, MTFS (formerly AdStoK) and self-adaptive Entropy and a few visual aids (swing direction, support/resistance levels and paintbars). "Self-adaptive" is the key word here. There is virtually no parameter to tune, and it can be used as is, for virtually any market symbol. Each chart provides a visibility 3 to 5 bars ahead, so actual trading should obviously be complemented by a sound money management technique.

A common question : Why isn't there a user documentation then? Hmmm... Who ever reads manuals...? Well, I might provide one eventually but at the same time I might not... The reason is that it is more important to absorb the method over a period of time and make it one's own, i.e. then adapt it to one's own trading profile.
For the keen developer, a detailed API documentation for this set of advanced TradeStation Analysis Techniques will be released shortly.
For the time being a separate technical blog has been launched for those of you interested in learning a little more about what's under the bonnet.
For more info: voisin DOT bruno AT gmail DOT com

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Market Snapshot

Tuesday, January 08, 2008

Market Outlook SPY for Jan 8th '08

Limpopo-Lipadi

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Learning the technique with a few commented charts

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