Wednesday, November 04, 2009

How far ahead ... ?

Not an update... just a reminder on the topic: How far can we "predict" the market behaviour ?

Indeed, i have said repeatedly that the tool set as it is does not capture volatility very well "mea culpa" but at the same time, if we use it for its intended purpose i.e. swing trading, turning points, targets, energy levels and support/resistance do provide collectively a more than adequate picture.

On average however, the market outlook is valid for 3 to 5 bars, sometimes brought down to 1 bar in case of a high volatility environment. Since the daily chart outlook often does not change enough to justify a regular update, the report tends to focus on the 60mins chart which obviously could warrant 2 reports a day... which i don't necessarily have the time for... A bit of a catch-22 ... So if any one wants to give it a go and post a mid-day update...