Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Market Outlook MID for Sep 19th '07


Dominant TF: Daily (or intraday < 30mins)
Swings: UP-UP-DN
Market direction: mildly UP to UP.

60mins:
The Fed rate cut helped MID break levels happily to pass the important 875 MM level.
AdStoK turned very positive, so did Entropy.
MID can now reach 890 to 895.

Daily:
AdStoK is obviously more bullish but it may take some time to see the underlying trend join the party. One should wait for 877 to be clearly passed and possible tested for support to see higher prices.
Should we see some profit taking, or continuation of the trading range, MID will find support around 855, then 843.
On the up side, 890 then 906.

Weekly:
The Swing indicator has not turned around yet, and weekly bars are still yellow, indicating we are not back to bullish mode just yet. Having said that, volatility is the main cause for this hesitation, and once 875 / 880 level is clearly broken, MID will be heading towards previous highs and maybe up to 937.