Market Snapshot: Market Outlook RUT for Dec 12th '07

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Market Outlook RUT for Dec 12th '07

Dominant TF: Daily, 60mins
Swings: DN-UP-DN (from UP-UP-DN)
Market Direction: Upper bias, but volatility ahead.

Read previous general comments on SPY and NDX. Patterns are different, but dynamics are correlated.

60 mins: RUT should stabilise on support level
RUT first hit its Fib target but then ended the day much lower on a strong intraday support level (765.63). Since there is still some negative energy to dissipate, it may go lower or at the very least remain in a congested trading range. Should the current level break (which is not visible right now) the next support level would be 750.
MTFS is not very bearish right now, but definitely indicates a lower bias.

daily: up & bumpy
We've now got the little bit of volatility we've expecting for a few days. The overall up pattern remains unchanged in the short term.

weekly: Directionless for the time being
Same situation: range [750-875]
Swing turned back down indicating RUT is not out of the woods just yet. Current congestion still hides a down bias. A weekly up bar, and if not blue, at least yellow, would confirm a safe return to the trading range.

Welcome !

And enjoy your visit to this little "Market Snapshot" blog.

The market report blog has now moved to ForeTrade while this one will (time permitting) focus on actual chart commentaries on TF and ES eminis, as well as EURUSD to show how accurate and yet simple our proprietary method is. The reason for this change is that the Toolset itself is no longer for sale itself, simply because the sales effort and training/support activities were too time consuming. I now provide market analysis exclusively to fund managers until the technology is finally sold to a fund or financial institution. The blogs and Twitter will then be closed or turned private. Anyway, enjoy while it's there...

A closer look:
Behind these market snapshots lies an advanced TradeStation toolset including a set of C++ DLLs and API to access various advanced realtime calculations stored in the DLL to be used either within TS or with custom VC++ programs. While seemingly a little complex at first, the technique is actually relatively easy to grasp. In fact, since most humans can only memorize 3 to 5 (sometimes up to 7) pieces of information at any one time, and the technique being discretionary, it was essential to keep it as simple as possible.

What are those snapshots made of ?
In a nutshell, all reports are based on a minimum of 1 symbol in 3 Time Frames: 60mins, daily and weekly, themselves using more or less the same indicator set: self-adaptive swing indicator, MTFS (formerly AdStoK) and self-adaptive Entropy and a few visual aids (swing direction, support/resistance levels and paintbars). "Self-adaptive" is the key word here. There is virtually no parameter to tune, and it can be used as is, for virtually any market symbol. Each chart provides a visibility 3 to 5 bars ahead, so actual trading should obviously be complemented by a sound money management technique.

A common question : Why isn't there a user documentation then? Hmmm... Who ever reads manuals...? Well, I might provide one eventually but at the same time I might not... The reason is that it is more important to absorb the method over a period of time and make it one's own, i.e. then adapt it to one's own trading profile.
For the keen developer, a detailed API documentation for this set of advanced TradeStation Analysis Techniques will be released shortly.
For the time being a separate technical blog has been launched for those of you interested in learning a little more about what's under the bonnet.
For more info: voisin DOT bruno AT gmail DOT com

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Market Snapshot

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Market Outlook RUT for Dec 12th '07

Limpopo-Lipadi

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Learning the technique with a few commented charts

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