Friday, December 07, 2007

Market Outlook RUT for Dec 7th '07


Dominant TF: Daily, 60mins
Swings: UP-UP-DN
Cycle (DomTF): 128: Avg to Good
Market Direction: Upper bias.

(Read previous general comments on SPY and NDX)

60 mins: upper bias
781 seems broken even though this happened late in the day, and could be reversed within an hour or two. Assuming it is confirmed, the next target is in the low 790s now. Again, the MTFS pattern is not the clearest we've had, so we just have to wait lines finally join. We may have the same kind of wavy climb until the major resistance is reached.

daily: up & bumpy
We have seen the recovery pattern actually materialising after RUT tested 750 again to bounce quickly to current levels. It didn't fail but the possibility was definitely there. Amazing volatility...
It is now proabably too late to see a significant retracement, but one should see continuation of the high volatility environment with possible pauses on the way to 812.

weekly: Directionless
Same situation: range [750-875]