Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Market Outlook SPY for Dec 19th '07


Dominant TF: 60mins & Daily
Swing: UP-DN-UP (from DN-DN-DN)
Cycles: up - average fit - low significance
Market Direction: No change in overall direction just yet, but a support must be found soon

Swings turned up on 60mins and weekly charts, indicating a key level nearby.

60mins: congestion to only moderatly up
Like NDX, bears aimed at testing 143.75 and almost got there. The Low EntBin at the bottom gives good recovery potential but the MTFS crossowver is messy, indicating there could be a slowdown before going higher.

Daily: support has been hit but congestion is likely, no excessive optimism just yet.
Bar is still red, MTFS and Entropy are not looking fantastic, so we have to wait for the support to be confirmed. MTFS lines being in median territory, there should be any major pressure either way, direction coming from line gradients.

Weekly: Congestion & Volatility
MTFS is unreadable because of the low significance level, hence one should not pay too much attention to the lines down gradients.
Swing is oscillating again indicating we might be close to a key level at this point in time.